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The Great Depression and the Great Recession, Essay Example
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Compare the 2008/2009 recession to the Great Depression
Great Depression | Great Recession | |
Unemployment Rate
(peak) |
25% | 8.5% |
% Change in Real GDP
(2008,2009) |
-30% | -4.3% |
% Change in Stock Market-DJIA
(High to Low 10/2007 to 3/2009) |
-89.2%
[September 1929 to July 1932] |
-53.8%
[Oct 2007 to Mar 2009] |
Number of Bank Failures
(Total 2008-2010) |
9,096 (50% of Banks)
[January 1930 to March 1933] |
57 (0.6% of Banks)
[December 2007 to May 2009) |
% Change in Money Supply
(2008) |
+17%
[1933] |
+125%
[September 2008 to May 2009] |
Inflation Rate
(Last 12 Months) |
-2.96% | 14% |
Longevity of Business Downturn
(Years) |
4 years | 2 years |
What major even pulled the U.S. out of the depression?
The United States experienced a culmination of two major events that enabled it to pull out of the great depression. The first and most significant event was the Second World War. World War II was an industry-intensive war. Numerous facets of industry, especially mining of metals and the production of weaponry, boosted the U.S. economy by creating employment opportunities for the young and unemployed. The second was the expansion of public works and federal bureaucracy by the Roosevelt administration. This considerably increased employment opportunities.
What major monetary mistake was made during the Depression as indicated by the above data?
In a bid to mitigate the downward trend the dollar’s value had taken, the Federal Reserve held on to dollars instead of sweeping up the Federal reserve to inject finances into investments so as to stimulate the economy.
Quantity Equation – has this theory worked? Why or why not?
The quantity theory has not effectively worked in the situation of the great recession. This is because the theory assumes that when money is injected into the economy, this would trigger the full employment of resources that would increase expenditure and output. However, the funds used to bail out banks in the great recession was not completely directed to boosting investment and expenditure. Most of the bailed out banks paid out huge bonuses to employees.
Reserves, bank lending, and the multiplier, is the process/flow working as it normally does?
While the Fed has opted to sweep the Federal Reserve so as to bail out banks, lending has considerably decreased as most investors have opted out of trading the riskier financial instruments that led to the eventual great recession. The multiplier is currently not working as it should owing to the fact that all resources have not been fully employed.
What are the longer term concerns regarding recent money supply growth?
The recent money supply growth raises concerns as to the effect it has on the currency itself. Other international currencies are gaining strength of the US Dollar, making the U.S, Market less competitive as investors and traders look to trade with Asia. This is largely due to the fixed value of most Asian currencies such as China’s.
What does the Fed eventual exit strategy refer to? What specific Fed actions will it likely include?
The Fed’s eventual exit strategy would be the gradual restoration of interest rates that the commercial banks loan from the Fed. This would gradually and steadily ease the economy back to the market-determined position. This can be seen in the end of the “Bush Tax Cuts” that would restore tax and interest rates to a market-determined position.
What are the risks to the economy associated with the eventual exit strategy?
The eventual risks associated with this exit strategy include a sharp increase in taxes and a devaluation of the U.S. Dollar as it faces competition from alternative markets.
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