Time Series Analysis, Essay Example

This is an empirical study of broadband users’ penetration in the US and how far the government has employed in implementing the internet accessibility in the country. To help carry out this empirical study, there is the use of the ordinary least squares and the Heckman two-stage regressions for the possible endogeneity of the company’s adoption decision. The outcome of the analysis show that there is a correction between the level or extend of internet accessibility and the cost of bandwidth to the internet service providers (ISP’s).

Introduction/ purpose statement

The most important basics data/broadband accessibility modeling offered in the econometric modeling literature indicates that there has existed a direct relationship between the prices charged on broadband and the quantity of the bandwidth sold. The broadband accessibility model is also known to positively impact on the outcome of the sales made in terms of the volumes of bandwidth sold. There has however been limited empirical evidence on this model despite several studies undertaken in the same especially on the same nature of business that have offers. Banker et al. (1993) and Srinivasan (2000) talks about the same.

Literature and hypothesis development

Literature Review: changing the broadband accessibility Model

Current study and broadband experts have recommended that ISPs are in a good quality situation to cost efficiently  roll out broadband to the end This will allow the broadband users and subscribers together with those who provide the service to increase their usage of the broadband especially with the end users who are deemed to the greatest beneficiaries

In a longitudinal field study of a single service firm, Chenhall and Langfield- Smith (3003) report on the impact of incentive changes, such as a gain-sharing reward system, and company/ total quality management (TQM) adoption on performance outcomes. Only minimal reference is made to the actions engendered by the incentive changes and company/ TQM adoption. The authors find that, although gain sharing and company/TQM adoption led to increased productivity during the initial decade, additional organizational changes in subsequent years, such as team-based structures and value added management (VAM), were relatively unsuccessful.

The authors attributed the lack of success to reduction of trust between workers and management engendered by the mechanistic control of gain sharing and the intrusiveness of VAM monitoring.

In a more comprehensive study, Sim and Killough (1998) investigate inter alia the relationships (1) among firm ‘‘broadband Competitiveness,’’ customer satisfaction performance goals, and customer contingent incentive rewards, and (3) among firm ‘‘company’s Competitiveness,’’ quality performance goals, and quality-contingent incentive rewards for firms in the electronics industry.

Counterintuitively, they find that customer satisfaction performance in firms decreases significantly with customer-related performance goals and is unrelated to customer-related incentive rewards. However, they do find that customer satisfaction performance increases significantly with both the interaction between firm ‘‘broadband Competitiveness’’ and customer-related performance goals and with the interaction between firm ‘‘broadband Competitiveness’’ and customer-related incentive rewards. Surprisingly, they also find that quality performance is unrelated to quality-related performance goals, quality-related incentive rewards, or the interaction of ‘‘company’s Competitiveness’’ and quality performance goals. They further show that quality performance of the company

Data and summary statistics

Table 1 Panel A shows that firms are significantly larger in terms of sales revenue and more profitable than firms not using broadband connection. These results raise potential causality concerns. Is it that firms are more profitable, or are profitable firms more likely to adopt the model? The Incentive Index quantifies the response by firm managers to the following survey question with respect to six firm performance measures: ‘‘How important are the following measures in evaluating the performance of your service system: inventory turns, equipment utilization, labor utilization, on-time delivery, maintainace fee reduction, and quality?’’

Table 1: Summary Statistics and Univariate Tests

Panel A: Production Data in Company and Industry

Production Data in Company and Industry

Scores are based on a five-point Likert scale where 5 extreme importance and 1 no importance. Table 1, Panel B provides means and medians for the Incentive Index and each of its components stratified by companies in the industry and non-company subsamples, and also by high- and low-profitability subsamples. Means and medians are similar to each other. Overall, the Incentive Index is significantly larger for the internet service providing firms than for non-firms based both on a t-test and a Mann-Whitney test, suggesting that firm managers in firms are subject to greater production incentives on the use of broadband than in non-firms. Looking at the separate incentive components, as expected, firms consider inventory turns and scrap/waste to be significantly more important in evaluating their service system than non-firms.9 More surprisingly, the four other incentive component differences are insignificant, but this may be due to the difficulty of measuring such variables as equipment utilization, labor utilization, and quality when compared with inventory turns and scrap/waste.

Panel B: Implementing model in the firm and by High/Low Operating Income/Sales

Implementing model

Multivariate analysis

Table 3: Accessibility Parameter Estimates (coefficients from mixed logit model)

Accessibility Parameter Estimates

Empirical results

In view of the fact that performance as measured by operating profits made by most of the ISP’s firms that were surveyed, the contribution margin, and total production costs yield qualitatively similar results, we provide tables for operating profits only. In addition, we show results for the Outcome Index performance measure because the latter metric yields results that are at variance somewhat with those of operating profits and the other performance measures. Using ordinary least squares (OLS), firm operating profits normalized by sales revenue is regressed on the Index, the Incentive Index, and on a number of control variables. If profitability is related to actions (conditioned on incentives), then the coefficient on the Index will be positive and significant. If performance is related to incentives (conditioned on actions), then the coefficient on the Incentive Index will be positive and significant.

Table 2, Panel A shows results for the case where the regression does not include an interaction term between the two indices. We further test H1 in Panel B of Table 2 by incorporating an interaction term between the Incentive Index and the Index. To mitigate the issue of multicollinearity in the presence of interaction terms and to enhance interpretability of the regression, we de-mean all non-dummy regressors (Aiken and West 1991) in the regressions that follow.

The regression in Table 2, Panel A yields a statistically significant F-statistic (F _ 37.65, p _ .000) with an adjusted R3 of 73 percent. The Index is positive and significant (t _ 3.41, p _ .001), indicating that firm performance is positively associated with ‘‘BROADBAND Competitiveness.’’ The Incentive Index is not significant (t _ 0.58, p _ .567), indicating that firm performance is independent of firm managers’ incentives, a result that is not supportive of H1a.13 Consistent with H3, the experience variable is positive and highly significant (p _ .000), indicating that firms that have more experience with are more profitable. We further find that firms that belong to firms that are international in scope are significantly more profitable (t _ 3.54, p _ .001). Also, firms for which adoption require the firm to increase financing are less profitable, but the coefficient is only marginally significant at the one-tailed level (t _ _1.41, p _ .166). Finally, automotive parts firms are significantly less profitable than electronics components firms (t _ _4.43, p _ .000). The Table 3, Panel B regression incorporates an interaction term between the Index and the Incentive Index but is otherwise identical to Panel A. The interaction term control

Two- stage regression analysis

The following window was generated after the execution of the TSLS parameter which gives the estimates that prettily close to the true values of the output. This is the most likely window that sis produced after same process has been repeated severally with different value.

Robustness check

To make sure there is stability and of results in the results of this study, several robustness checks are cared out. The levels of significance is for instance not based on the Heckman standard error but on bootstrap and jackknife standard errors which still give the desired qualitative results for all the regression analysis carried out in the cause of this study.   Even in the cases where more than one firms are owed by the same company. This accounts for companies that have potentially correlated data. This however is not possible with their regressions re-estimated after the dropping has been made. The results in all the cases were however not affected by this procedure since the company employs inventories that are material requirements planning in nature (MRP) which indicate that the benefits of the company are ascribed to this model. There was however the dropping of some of the models that were initially used by the company though it had no adverse effects on the company results on the efficiency of the model.

Conclusion

Based on the data set that is the study uses, has make several contribution to the empirical level of broadband user penetration in the country and the literature of several broadband companies that operate the business of internet service providing. The study show that based on the empirical results of the study, businesses is encouraged to adopt this kind of business model that encourage the use of broadband but not the specific practices. According to this study it is evident that the essential inventory issues like the broadband usage turns are some of the motivational aspects for the adoption of the model. There is however need for more research on other aspects of the model like its quality to make the model more clear. The measure of the performance of the broadband penetration strategy and the experiences of using this strategy to get broadband indicates that there is significantly related to the performance as measured by the outcome index.

The purpose of this paper was to explore three research questions. First we sought to quantify U.S. broadband users’ penetration. We found that broadband Internet users have clear penetration over several features of how they have managed to cover a wider range. In particular, broadband users appear to be extensively and widely subscription to these internet services. Second, we explored how much U.S. broadband users and to what extend it has gone in various parts of the country

There are however several reasons based on the findings that would have caused the companies in the broadband provision business to adopt to the new system of making user that all internet users get the broadband cheaply and the strategy  more the specific incentives and practices that would have caused the companies to invest in broadband. Not only do the mere performance goals of the companies would not have been one motivating factor that would have made the company implement the model part from the underlying monetary reward that is attached to the model. This is in tandem with the career incentives that would have been argued out by Holmstrom (1983) and Dewatripont et al. (1999) generalizations. This makes the use of the company study findings be used fairly intensively and widely.  The variables found in Heckman analysis in this case may have played a major role in the management decision to adopt the model though its OLS regression commonly known as the second-stage Heckman regression. Some of the incentives that would however motivated the managers of the company to adopt this model might not have been found or observed at the cause of the study yet ar truly motivators behind the practice decisions.

There are several weaknesses that the study but three of these weaknesses are found to be the most pertinent and found out to have affected and greatly influenced the results of the study. The size of the sample is one of these weaknesses as the sample had to be gets smaller, the accuracy of the study also reduces hence need to deal with larger samples of the data in order to improve on the accuracy and acceptability of the findings of the study. A larger sample would also allow for an analysis of the endogeneity that is more robust. This is possible through the use of the parametric and non parametric techniques. This is however difficult has it as it is not easy to have data that is not proprietary in nature even if it means working with smaller samples.

To avoid the several errors that are common with measurement, the data which is cross-sectional in nature is desideratum in nature get care has to be taken to mitigate the error. Incorporating the performance data for the company may give more room for a more insightful analysis of the endogeneity of counterfactuals through treatment effects that are associated with those estimated by the company. This means that the turns yield as a result of this model is higher as shown by the empirical results of the model.

Reference

Ahmed, N. U., E. A. Runc, and R. V. Montagno. 1991. A comparative study of U.S. Internet Service Providing firms at various stages of just-in-time implementation. International Journal of Technology Research 29: 787–802.

Aiken, L. S., and S. G. West. 1991. Multiple Regressions. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage Publishing.

Balakrishnan, R., T. J. Linsmeier, and M. Venkatachalam. 1996. Financial benefits from JIT adoption: Effects of customer concentration and cost structure. The Accounting Review 71: 183–205.

Banker, R. D., G. Potter, and R. G. Schroeder. 1993. Reporting Telecommunication performance measures to workers: An empirical study. Journal of Management Accounting Research 5: 33–55. , Lee, and G. Potter. 1996. A field study of the impact of a Technology-based incentive plan. Journal of Technology and Economics 21: 195–226.